Business News Agency February 21 News 2011 is the first year of China's implementation of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” for development, and it is also the year for the largest number of new projects to be launched and the largest for implementation. The country’s economic policy will focus on ensuring the market’s Develop steadily.

Under the macroeconomic environment with good economic fundamentals, industry experts believe that, under the collective role of national foreign trade, industry, and financial and monetary policies, a textile machinery industry with historical growth was achieved last year. Although this year faces local growth unfavorable factors, the overall We will continue to maintain stable and sustained development. While the influence of external factors is limited, the “12th Five-Year Development Guidance Opinions for the Textile Machinery Industry” to be released in March this year will also be the starting point for a new round of structural adjustment and technological innovation from the industry. .

Limited influence of policy factors

As early as last year in 2011 held in the national textile machinery industry production and management symposium, Wang Shutian, chairman of the China Textile Machinery and Equipment Industry Association, made predictions on the 2011 national macroeconomic environment.

Wang Shutian believes that although the current economic growth shows some signs of slowing, but because the fundamentals of the economy are still good, China's economy will continue to achieve inclusive growth in the future, macro-control more space, will lay a solid social foundation for the development of the real economy. The economic growth rate has slowed down, the inflation rate is within the controllable range, and the local government has tolerated the local government. The investment in fiscal policy will shift from infrastructure and real estate construction to rural governance, energy conservation and emission reduction, and promotion of reform of state-owned enterprises. Enterprises have become the focus of economic growth.

Zhu Xianmin, vice chairman of the China Textile Machinery and Equipment Industry Association, believes that this year's national macroeconomic environment has adversely affected the development of the textile machinery industry mainly in two aspects: First, the appreciation of the ***, and second, the foreign trade policy that the state encourages imports.

“The appreciation of *** is expected to impact the export of textile enterprises on the one hand, and on the other hand it will reduce the cost of imported equipment of textile enterprises, which will lead to an increase in the import of textile machinery. The causal effect of this transmission will give the product market for domestic textile machinery. In addition, since the beginning of last year, in order to reduce the trade surplus, the Ministry of Commerce has introduced many single-item import encouragement policies, and this year the country’s foreign trade policies to encourage imports will continue, which will make domestic textile machinery products face severe challenges for imported equipment. This will have an impact on the development of the textile machinery industry, and the key to the impact is how much the import policy is encouraged."

"However, the textile machinery industry is also one of the beneficiaries of the state's policy of encouraging imports. According to the provisions of the State's Catalogue of Encouraging Imported Technologies and Products, textile machinery companies introduce advanced technologies, important equipment or key components, and have achieved remarkable results. And companies that carry out digestion, absorption and innovation will receive key support, which will effectively advance the technological progress of domestic textile machinery.” Zhu Xianmin added.

As for the new round of regulation and control expected this year, Zhu Xianmin believes that the current national monetary policy and fiscal policy are relatively stable, a certain range of interest rate increases and deposit reserve ratio is raised, and the impact on the textile machinery industry is limited.

In Zhu Xianmin's view, the pressure on textile machinery companies is not as large as that of textile companies. The investigations conducted at previous meetings of the textile machinery industry have confirmed his view.

“This has a lot to do with the production and industrial structure of the textile machinery companies,” Zhu Xianmin explained. “Most textile machinery companies have gradually emerged from the big and complete industrial model. Under the premise of mastering the manufacturing of core components, they will The middle part of the manufacturing spreads to the neighboring textile machinery foundry, while the company shifts to the 'both ends' of the business - the development of R&D and sales. The further development of textile machinery companies has not only relied on the increase in investment in fixed assets. In order for textile companies to become bigger and stronger, they must form large-scale production, which must be achieved by increasing the investment in fixed assets."

Continuous development is a key word

On July 5 last year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China issued the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Transfer of the Textile Industry," and clarified the tasks for the transfer of the textile industry and the key points for regional development in the Northeast, East, West, Central and Northeast regions. When adapting to the transfer of the textile industry, backward technologies, high energy consumption and high pollution cannot be transferred along with it. Therefore, with the industrial transfer of the textile industry, the textile machinery industry as its technical support is bound to have a large market development. space.

Turning to the overall trend of the textile machinery industry in 2011, Wang Shutian believes that the situation of the textile machinery market will remain relatively stable this year. User companies will put forward higher requirements for technological innovation and improve product reliability. The market will have a decision-making ability for textile machinery companies. Put forward new tests.

If a keyword is used to describe the overall situation of the textile machinery industry this year, Zhu Xianmin believes that "sustainable development" is the most representative.

After analyzing the trends in the annual growth rate of the textile machinery industry in the “Nineth Five-Year”, “Five-Year” and “Eleventh Five-Year” periods, Zhu Xianmin deduced a conclusion that the annual growth rate of product sales revenue of enterprises above the designated size of the entire industry will increase or decrease. 3 to 4 years is a cycle. “The textile machinery industry has maintained a high growth rate of around 17% for three consecutive years. According to the development law of this industry, the textile machinery industry will continue to maintain growth this year and next, but the annual growth rate may decline slightly. However, at present, The market demand for textile machinery products is rigid, and it is expected that during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period this year, the overall capacity of China's textile machinery market will continue to expand.” Zhu Xianmin said.

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